Declassified Memo Reveals Obama-Era Officials Doubted Russian Interference in 2016 Election
Newly declassified intelligence documents have shed dramatic light on the controversial “Crossfire Hurricane” investigation into alleged collusion between Donald Trump and the Russian government during the 2016 U.S. presidential election. The documents, recently released by Director of Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, include a memorandum indicating that senior officials in the Obama administration concluded there was no significant Russian interference capable of affecting the election outcome.
The revelation, which contradicts years of political narrative and media coverage, has sent shockwaves through Washington, D.C.
According to the memo—originally authored in 2016 and addressed directly to then-President Barack Obama—U.S. intelligence agencies assessed that Russia’s cyber operations had not penetrated election infrastructure in a way that could alter vote totals. While the document acknowledged attempts to target voter registration systems in places like Illinois, it emphasized that the breaches were unsuccessful and did not compromise the integrity of ballots cast.
“Russian and criminal actors did not impact recent U.S. election results by conducting malicious cyber activities against election infrastructure,” the memo states. “The targeting of systems not involved in the ballot casting process makes it highly unlikely these efforts could have affected vote outcomes.”
Additionally, the memo concluded that criminal cyber activities lacked both the scale and sophistication necessary to alter the results of the 2016 election.
These findings support former President Trump’s long-standing assertion that the Russia collusion narrative was a politically motivated operation, rather than a legitimate national security concern. Trump has frequently claimed that the investigation into his campaign’s alleged ties to Moscow was orchestrated by political rivals to undermine his presidency from the outset.
Adding to the controversy, journalist Paul Sperry reported that sources have pointed to a trove of internal communications—text messages and emails—that allegedly show coordination between the Hillary Clinton campaign and top Obama administration officials. These communications reportedly include interactions with the National Security Council, the State Department, and intelligence agencies.
According to Sperry, these documents could suggest a coordinated effort to manufacture links between Trump and Russian operatives in mid-2016, at the height of the presidential campaign. Though not yet publicly released, the potential existence of such communications is now under growing scrutiny.
The disclosures appear to have ignited new efforts within the federal government to re-examine the origins of the Crossfire Hurricane probe and those responsible for its creation. Former CIA Director John Brennan and former FBI Director James Comey, key figures in the early stages of the investigation, are reportedly the focus of preliminary inquiries into possible misconduct.
CIA Director John Ratcliffe, in a recent public statement, criticized the intelligence community’s approach during the 2016 election. He accused Brennan of selectively withholding information from other agencies and pushing to include the now-debunked Steele dossier in official intelligence assessments. The dossier, composed by former British intelligence officer Christopher Steele, contained a series of unverified and ultimately discredited allegations against Trump.
Further compounding the situation, a 200-page internal audit has reportedly been compiled following a closed-door meeting between Department of Justice officials and intelligence leaders. That audit includes a review of actions taken during the Trump-Russia probe and is expected to guide decisions about further declassifications—possibly including internal notes and transcripts collected by Special Counsel John Durham. Durham concluded in 2023 that there was no credible evidence linking Trump’s campaign to Russian collusion.
Gabbard’s release of the memo is seen by many insiders as the beginning of a broader push toward transparency. The move has intensified calls for accountability and led to renewed demands from lawmakers for full disclosure of all materials related to Crossfire Hurricane.
Investigators are also examining whether Brennan may have misled Congress under oath when he denied using the Steele dossier as part of the intelligence community’s final assessment of Russian interference. Although the statute of limitations for perjury may have lapsed, legal experts say Brennan could still face charges of conspiracy or obstruction, depending on further evidence.
Meanwhile, former FBI Director James Comey has attracted attention for a cryptic social media post that many interpreted as politically provocative. Sources suggest that Comey was quietly visited by the Secret Service earlier this year in connection with the post, although details remain unclear.
“This was a political operation—more powerful and far-reaching than any foreign disinformation campaign,” said one senior intelligence official. “Obama wanted Trump destabilized before he ever stepped into the Oval Office. Hillary and her team shaped the strategy, and the intelligence agencies carried it out.”
As more documents are expected to be declassified in the coming weeks, officials say this may only be the beginning of a long-overdue reckoning for the architects of the Trump-Russia narrative.